Ukrainian refugees in Europe

Thomas Chopard, historian, and Camille Bressange, cartographer and journalist

The war in Ukraine has triggered one of the largest population displacements of the 21st century. While most people transit via neighbouring countries, where are they being received in Europe and at Europe’s door ?

At the time of writing, the Ukrai­nian govern­ment reports that 12 million citi­zens, out of a total popu­la­tion of 44 million, have been displaced by the war, among whom, accor­ding to the United Nations High Commis­sion for Refu­gees (UNHCR)[1], 4.8 million have left the country. The Russian inva­sion laun­ched on 24 February 2022 has trig­gered one of the largest popu­la­tion displa­ce­ments of the 21st century. By compa­rison, and accor­ding to the same source, 5.7 million Syrians out of a total of 21 million, and 2.3 million South Suda­nese out of 12.4 million, have fled their country at war.

[1] “Ukraine Refugee Situa­tion”, UNHCR, latest update 16 June 2022, https://​data​.unhcr​.org/​e​n​/​s​i​t​u​a​t​i​o​n​s​/​u​kraine.

Ukrai­nian refu­gees in transit within Europe

Refu­gees recorded per country
Iceland
Czech Republic
Germany
Poland
Russia
Slovakia
France
Spain
Italy
Hungary
Romania
Turkiyë
Moldova

Note : The data corres­pond the situa­tion on 1 June 2022
Source : Ukraine Refugee Situa­tion, United Nations High Commis­sion for Refugees

Taking refuge across the border

The coun­tries borde­ring Ukraine have been the most directly and massi­vely affected by the arrival of refu­gees. Accor­ding to UNHCR data in the various coun­tries, seven million indi­vi­duals from Ukraine have crossed the borders into neigh­bou­ring coun­tries, as shown on the first map. Note that this map reflects the numbers of arri­vals recorded per country. Certain refu­gees may be counted more than once if they pass through several different countries.

A total of 3.5 million refu­gees have crossed into Poland, the main desti­na­tion country for people fleeing Ukraine. The UNHCR recorded almost 100,000 arri­vals per day from 27 February, with a peak of 140,000 on 6 March 2022. Numbers then fell back to 30,000 per day around 21 March, stabi­li­zing at about 20,000 at the end of that month. The recep­tion of new arri­vals was faci­li­tated by the large Ukrai­nian diaspora of about one million people already living in Poland before the war. They were encou­raged by the Polish govern­ment to plan for the arrival of refu­gees as early as 15 February, when rumours of inva­sion started to spread, and played a key role in welco­ming them into the country.

Despite their rela­ti­vely narrow borders with Ukraine, its western neigh­bours have received very large numbers of refu­gees with respect to their own popu­la­tions : 698,420 in Hungary, 587,219 in Romania, 483,306, in Moldova, 466,264 in Slovakia. As was the case in Poland, most refu­gees arrived in March, with numbers level­ling off by around 21 March to 5,000 per day in Hungary, 3,000 in Slovakia, 2,000 in Romania and 1,500 in Moldova.

Although rarely mentioned in the media, Russia is also a major desti­na­tion for fleeing Ukrai­nians, and has been so since the first phase of the conflict began in 2014. It has received around one million refu­gees, mainly from eastern regions most ravaged by the war. The promo­tion of Russian recep­tion faci­li­ties, and incen­tive measures such as the promise of a Russian passport have certainly played a role in this east­ward move­ment, but reports of inter­n­ment, inter­ro­ga­tion, filte­ring on the basis of presumed poli­tical loyalty, notably among the popu­la­tions who arrived in May and June, have recently appeared in the press.[2]

[2]“Ukrai­nian refu­gees in Russia report inter­ro­ga­tions, deten­tion and other abuses”, Washington Post, 11 May 2022, https://​www​.washing​ton​post​.com/​w​o​r​l​d​/​2​0​2​2​/​0​5​/​1​1​/​u​k​r​a​i​n​e​-​r​e​f​u​g​e​e​s​-​r​u​s​s​i​a​-​f​i​l​t​r​a​t​i​o​n​-​camps/.

Distri­bu­tion of Ukrai­nian refu­gees in Europe

Refu­gees recorded per country

Coun­tries where the majo­rity of recorded Ukrai­nian refu­gees have tran­sited to another country

Iceland
Czech Republic
Germany
Poland
Russia
Slovakia
France
Spain
Italy
Hungary
Romania
Türkiye
Moldova
Belarus

Note : The data corres­pond the situa­tion on 1 June 2022
Source : Ukraine Refugee Situa­tion, United Nations High Commis­sion for Refugees

Gate­ways to the Euro­pean Union

With the excep­tion of Russia, where the 1.1 million Ukrai­nians who took refuge there are still in situ, the refugee popu­la­tions in the other coun­tries have gradually decreased. Of the 3.7 million refu­gees who arrived in Poland, around one-third (1.152 million) were still regis­tered on Polish terri­tory in early June. This decline is even more marked in the other neigh­bou­ring coun­tries. In Moldova, new arri­vals have always been outnum­bered by depar­tures, notably to Romania, where half of all Ukrai­nian refu­gees arrived directly from Ukraine and the other half from Moldova. But few stay in Romania. Accor­ding to UNHCR data, out of almost one million people who have crossed through the country, just 82,344 have remained. Fewer than 20% of refu­gees regis­tered in Moldava, Romania and Slovakia have stayed in these coun­tries. The most notable case is that of Hungary. Of the 731,098 arri­vals recorded by the UNHCR at the Ukrai­nian border, only slightly more than 3% (24,091) were still in the country in early June. Poland is the only country of both transit and desti­na­tion. Some 1.4 million refu­gees were counted in the coun­tries neigh­bou­ring Ukraine (exclu­ding Russia), in early June, while 2.165 million had travelled further west, of whom almost one-third (780,000) to Germany. A clear change of direc­tion towards central Europe.

Europe tempo­ra­rily lifted all immi­gra­tion restric­tions for Ukrai­nians on 4 March, enabling them to travel freely across Europe, and provided excep­tional protec­tion to displaced Ukrai­nians upon request. This freedom of move­ment for Ukrai­nian passport holders also explains their arrival in more distant desti­na­tions such as Turkey (around 135,000 refu­gees accor­ding to the Turkish govern­ment), Georgia (around 20,000), and Israel for Ukrai­nian citi­zens with proof of Jewish ancestry (around 15,000).

Retur­ning to a country at war

With figures of 7 million depar­tures from Ukraine but just 4.8 million regis­tered refu­gees, the UNHCR statis­tics point up the diffi­culty of measu­ring return migration.

The UNHCR has recorded a quite steady flow of around 10,000 returns per day since the start of the war, and from May 2022, returns began to coun­ter­ba­lance depar­tures. Accor­ding to accounts relayed by the press, the reasons for retur­ning are diverse. Among Ukrai­nian retur­nees who emigrated before the war, men report a desire to join up, and women, the desire to be with their rela­tives or chil­dren left behind when they went abroad to find work. Recent refu­gees, after three months in exile, talk about the winding down of emer­gency support services, the dislo­ca­tion of their family, the diffi­cul­ties of finding a place to live and of settling abroad more gene­rally. This return move­ment is also observed among inter­nally displaced popu­la­tions : at the end of May, Kyiv city hall reported that two-thirds of the city’s inha­bi­tants had returned.

To find out more
  • Dumont, G.-F., 2022. “L’Ukraine face à la guerre : géopo­li­tique et popu­la­tion”, Popu­la­tion & Avenir, 758(3), pp. 17–19.
The authors

Thomas Chopard is a post­doc­toral resear­cher at CREE, Univer­sity of Languages and Civi­li­za­tions (INALCO), and assis­tant director of the Centre d’études franco-russe. He is a fellow of CI Migration.
Camille Bres­sange is a carto­gra­pher and jour­na­list. She writes for the Wall Street Journal.

Quote this article

Thomas Chopard and Camille Bres­sange, “Ukrai­nian refu­gees in Europe”, in : Antonin Durand, Thomas Chopard, Cathe­rine Gous­seff and Claire Zalc (eds.), Feature “Migra­tion and the borders of Ukraine at war”, De facto [Online], 33 | June 2022, posted online on 24 June 2022. URL : https://www.icmigrations.cnrs.fr/en/2022/11/07/defacto-033–05/

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